How It Works

The GENIUS Model

Our proprietary GENIUS (Generative Enhanced Neural Intelligence for Unpredictable Systems) model uses advanced machine learning algorithms trained on millions of historical race data points.

The model analyses over 150+ factors including:

• Historical performance and form data
• Going conditions and track biases
• Trainer and jockey statistics
• Speed figures and sectional times
• Market movements and odds patterns
• Pace analysis and running styles
• Draw advantages and tactical considerations

AI Confidence Score

Each selection comes with an AI Confidence Score ranging from 65% to 95%. This percentage represents how confident our model is in the selection's value.

• 90-95% — Very High: Our strongest recommendations
• 80-89% — High: Strong value identified
• 70-79% — Strong: Solid betting opportunity
• 65-69% — Moderate: Potential value play

Selection Tier System

Our selections are categorised into tiers based on AI confidence, edge percentage, odds value, and market intelligence.

BANKER — Highest Confidence

Our most confident selections with maximum edge over the market. 20-25% edge, odds 5.0-8.0, 57% historical win rate.

5-STAR NAP

Elite contrarian picks using Rank 6 patterns. Odds 6.0-12.0, 37% historical win rate.

HIDDEN GEM — Each-Way Value

High-edge longshots ideal for each-way betting. 40%+ edge, odds 12.0+, 32% win rate, 47% place rate.

4-STAR SELECTION

"Magic Combo" selections with exceptional historical performance. Odds 6.0-10.0, 32% win rate.

STRONG

Solid value selections combining market mover signals with meaningful edge. Odds 4.0-12.0, 23% win rate.

Expected Value (EV)

EV per unit measures the theoretical profit you can expect from a bet over the long term. It's calculated by comparing our model's probability estimate against the bookmaker's odds.

An EV of +50 means that over many similar bets, you'd expect to make £50 profit for every £100 wagered.

Market Movers Explained

Market Movers tracks horses whose odds have shortened significantly, indicating heavy betting activity and potential insider confidence.

• Stable confidence and positive reports
• Professional money entering the market
• Material changes in race conditions
• Late information affecting the horse's chances

Raiders Explained

Raiders tracks horses travelling significant distances to compete at courses far from their home base. When trainers send horses on long journeys, it often signals genuine confidence.

• Horses travelling 100+ miles to race
• Trainer strike rates at the destination course
• Historical performance when making long trips

Betting Terms Glossary

Single

A bet on one selection to win

Double

Two selections, both must win

Treble

Three selections, all must win

Lucky 15

4 selections: 4 singles, 6 doubles, 4 trebles, 1 accumulator (15 bets)

Each-Way (E/W)

Two bets: one for win, one for place

SP (Starting Price)

The final odds when the race starts

Going

Track condition (Heavy, Soft, Good, Firm)

Form

Recent race results